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The Institute of International Studies (IIS) Fisipol UGM addresses the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in the IIS Commentaries program entitled “Russian-Ukrainian Conflict: Negotiating the Best Solution”. A senior researcher from the Institute of International Studies (IIS) as well as an expert in European studies, Muhadi Sugiono, was the speaker in this session.Russia’s military attack on Ukraine on Thursday (24/2/2022) is a consequence of Russia’s concerns over NATO’s expansion into Ukraine. Muhadi evaluated that this conflict was rooted in Russia’s anxiety about Ukraine joining NATO. Russia’s aggressive moves not only have the potential to result in a humanitarian crisis but also become a gateway for major wars—including the potential use of nuclear weapons.
Russian President, Vladimir Putin, views the expansion of membership as a signal of the ‘betrayal’ of the countries that won the Cold War against Russia, which does not want the expansion of NATO post-Cold War.
“Currently, NATO’s actions to expand its membership to the east threatens Ukraine’s position as the ‘last fortress’ for Russia. If Ukraine joins NATO, the borders between Russia and NATO will coincide,” Muhadi explained.
Muhadi suspects that Russia is currently experiencing anxiety over the prospect of losing buffer zones that can support its security, especially Ukraine. Today, Russia is demanding something that has long been ‘on its claim’. “The Ukraine issue has even become a ‘life and death’ for Russia’s security and geopolitics. And in desperation, it is feared that Russia could make nuclear weapons an option, whether forced or not.” Muhadi said. read more